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NBA Best Bets 61-40 (60%) This Season This past season was very frustrating for me and my clients, as my Basketball Best Bets were only 52% while my opinions were 57% for the season, It's very frustrating to have my methods working just as well as they usually work, but to have my Best Bets win at only a 52% rate while my opinions are winning at a 57% clip. My 54% on my Best Bets and Opinions combined is normal, but my Best Bets are 55% historically while my opinions are normally 53% - so this season's lower than expected Best Bet record can be chalked up to variability given that my methods are working fine. I've also had seasons when my Best Bets were 59% and my opinions were 50%, so variability works both ways (unfortunately, it was negative variance this past season). I am encouraged that my methods are working, but that doesn't make this past season that much easier to deal with (although I was glad to hear a lot of you were betting the opinions). I got plenty of complaints this past season, but I had similar complaints after my 50% basketball season in 2002-03, in which I lost 55.5 Stars at -1.10 odds (588-585-27 on a Star Basis) and I am +218.5 Stars of profit in 5 seasons since then (including this past season), so it will serve you well to try to have a longer term perspective. Quitting on my service after a down year is like giving up on the stock market because it went down this past year – even though stocks have been a great long term investment for the past 100 years. Click here to subscribe to one of my Best Bet Packages.
Dr. Bob in Wall Street Journal
Basketball Best Bets (all records in star-basis) Free Analysis This past season I was 13-11-1 on my Free Best Bets and 104-86-5 on my free opinions.
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