Wednesday, June 18
Basketball Best Bets +439.6 Stars (at -1.10 odds) Last 10 Seasons!
NBA Best Bets 61-40 This Season!

NBA Best Bets 61-40 (60%) This Season
My lean on the Under in game 6 of the NBA finals was a loser, but my playoff opinions finished with a record of 42-20. I was only 181-168-8 on my Basketball Best Bets for the season (but 61-40 on my NBA Best Bets), and 460-428-22 on a Star Basis, for a loss of -10.8 Stars at -1.10 odds - but I'm still +439.6 Stars over the last 10 seasons and 55% on Basketball Best Bets over 21 years in business.

This past season was very frustrating for me and my clients, as my Basketball Best Bets were only 52% while my opinions were 57% for the season, It's very frustrating to have my methods working just as well as they usually work, but to have my Best Bets win at only a 52% rate while my opinions are winning at a 57% clip. My 54% on my Best Bets and Opinions combined is normal, but my Best Bets are 55% historically while my opinions are normally 53% - so this season's lower than expected Best Bet record can be chalked up to variability given that my methods are working fine. I've also had seasons when my Best Bets were 59% and my opinions were 50%, so variability works both ways (unfortunately, it was negative variance this past season). I am encouraged that my methods are working, but that doesn't make this past season that much easier to deal with (although I was glad to hear a lot of you were betting the opinions).

I got plenty of complaints this past season, but I had similar complaints after my 50% basketball season in 2002-03, in which I lost 55.5 Stars at -1.10 odds (588-585-27 on a Star Basis) and I am +218.5 Stars of profit in 5 seasons since then (including this past season), so it will serve you well to try to have a longer term perspective. Quitting on my service after a down year is like giving up on the stock market because it went down this past year – even though stocks have been a great long term investment for the past 100 years.

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Dr. Bob in Wall Street Journal
There is an article about me in the January 5th 2007 Wall Street Journal. I hope you find the article interesting.

Wall Street Journal Article

Basketball Best Bets (all records in star-basis)
2007-08 = 460-428-22 for -10.8 Stars
2006-07 = 450-415-11 for -6.5 Stars
2005-06 = 574-420-16 for +112.0 Stars
2004-05 = 562-519-25 for – 8.9 Stars
2003-04 = 664-483-39 for +132.7 Stars
2002-03 = 588-585-27 for -55.5 Stars
2001-02 = 539-396-19 for +103.4 Stars
2000-01 = 549-473-21 for +28.7 Stars
1999-00 = 532-428-26 for +61.2 Stars
1998-99 = 410-297-20 for +83.3 Stars (NBA Strike season)
Total = 5328-4444-226 (55%) for +439.6 Stars

Free Analysis
I post free analysis almost every day during basketball season on anywhere from 1 to 5 games and those opinions have been profitable over the years.

This past season I was 13-11-1 on my Free Best Bets and 104-86-5 on my free opinions.