Monday,February 02
Football Best Bets 164-126-11 on a Star Basis This Season!
55% on NFL Best Bets Last 21 Years!

My predicted score on the Super Bowl was Pittsburgh 24-17, with a very slight lean on Pittsburgh at -6 1/2 losing and my lean on the under also losing with that last TD. I was 3-1 on the 4 propositions I leaned with, winning with Pittsburgh over 18 1/2 completions, Roethlisberger over in passing yards, and James under in rushing yards while losing the over in total sacks.

I was just 19-20 on my NFL Best Bets for the season and 52-48 on a Star Basis (1-0 on my 4-Star, 12-8 on 3-Stars and 6-12 on 2-Stars) for a small loss of just 0.8 Stars at -1.10 odds. My overall profit for subscribers is +4.45 Stars when the 3-0 on Season win totals is added in (see below). My NFL Strong Opinions were 20-10-2. It's unfortunate that my methods worked at a good rate overall (57% on my Best Bets and Strong Opinions combined), yet my Best Bets were around 50%, but I've had years when my Best Bets were at 60% and my Strong Opinions were at 50%, so it all evens out.

NFL Season Win Total Bets go 3-0 for +5.25 Stars
I also cashed all 3 of the NFL season win total bets I sent out to my subscribers on the Thursday before week 1, as I had 2 Stars on Tampa Bay over 8 or 8 1/2, 2-Stars on Houston over 7 1/2 and 2-Stars on Philadelphia over 8 1/2 at -1.80 to win 1.25 Stars. All 3 of those won by exactly 1/2 a win, with Tampa Bay getting their 9th win over a month ago and Philly and Houston winning the final week to win the season bets. I'm had a good season on my College Football plays, as my College Best Bets were 112-78-11 on a Star Basis (2-0 on 4-Stars, 22-16-3 on 3-Stars, 19-15-1 on 2-Stars) and my College Strong Opinions were 47-30-1. So, overall I am having a profitable season at 164-126-11 on a Star Basis College and NFL combined, for a profit of +25.4 Stars at -1.10 odds.

Math Model 217-160-9
My NFL Math model was 1-0 on differences of 5 points or more in the Wild Card round of the playoffs, winning with San Diego. The record of my NFL Math Model when the difference is 5 points or more is now 217-160-9 since I started using my model in 2000. The math model forecasts for every game are included each week with my NFL Best Bets package.

For those that are new to Dr Bob Sports, I recommend reading the following pages, which include my Sports Betting as an Investment article, an essay on my handicapping methods and sample analysis.

Sports Betting as an Investment Article
Sample College Analysis
Sample NFL Analysis
My Handicapping Methods

Dr. Bob in Wall Street Journal
There was an article about me in the January 5th, 2007 issue of the Wall Street Journal in the Weekend section. I hope you find the article interesting.

Wall Street Journal Article